Displaying results 9 - 11 of 11
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Modeling Clinician Detection Time of a Disease Outbreak Due to Inhalational Anthrax
Content Type: Abstract
We developed a probabilistic model of how clinicians are expected to detect a disease outbreak due to an outdoor release of anthrax spores, when the clinicians only have access to traditional clinical information (e.g., no computer-based alerts). We… read more -
An Outbreak Detection Algorithm that Efficiently Performs Complete Bayesian Model Averaging Over All Possible Spatial Distributions of Disease
Content Type: Abstract
Many disease-outbreak detection algorithms, such as control chart methods, use frequentist statistical techniques. We describe a Bayesian algorithm that uses data D consisting of current day counts of some event (e.g., emergency department (ED)… read more -
Estimating the incidence of influenza cases that present to emergency departments
Content Type: Abstract
Our laboratory previously established the value of over-the-counter (OTC) sales data for the early detection of disease outbreaks. We found that thermometer sales (TS) increased significantly and early during influenza (flu) season.… read more