Displaying results 9 - 14 of 14
-
Analysis of Zero-Inflated and Overdispersed Time Series: An Application to Syphilis Surveillance in the United States
Content Type: Abstract
Time series data involving counts are frequently encountered in many biomedical and public health applications. For example, in disease surveillance, the occurrence of rare infections over time is often monitored by public health officials, and the… read more -
Can we identify bellwether states with respect to syphilis incidence?
Content Type: Abstract
The time series of syphilis cases has been studied at the country and state level at the yearly basis, and it has been found that syphilis has a periodicity of approximately 10 years. However, to inform prevention efforts, it is important to… read more -
Who Should We Be Listening to? Applying Models of User Authority to Detecting Emerging Topics on the EIN
Content Type: Abstract
Emerging event detection is the process of automatically identifying novel and emerging ideas from text with minimal human intervention. With the rise of social networks like Twitter, topic detection has begun leveraging measures of user influence… read more -
A prediction market for H5N1 influenza compared with statistical forecasting model
Content Type: Abstract
Predictionmarkets have been successfully used to forecast future events in other fields. We adapted this method to provide estimates of the likelihood of H5N1 influenza related events. Objective The purpose… read more -
Inferring Travel from Social Media
Content Type: Abstract
The spread of infectious diseases is facilitated by human travel. Infectious diseases are often introduced into a population by travelers and then spread among susceptible individuals. Likewise uninfected susceptible travelers can move into… read more -
Using a prediction market to forecast dengue fever activity
Content Type: Abstract
Dengue is a mosquito-borne viral disease, and there is considerable evidence that case numbers are rising and geographical distribution of the disease is widening within the United States, and around the world. The accuracy and… read more